Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Riggs vs Michał Oleksiejczuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

49-18-1Record22-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
37,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Soul FightersTeamAkademia Sportow Walki Wilanow

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
Michał OleksiejczukNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.41
Sig. strikes / min
5.85
51%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
57%
Strike defense
60%
2.45
Takedown avg.
1.02
55%
Takedown accuracy
42%
63%
Takedown defense
53%
0.58
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe RiggsMichał Oleksiejczuk
17002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

37 (77%)
KO/TKO
16 (73%)
7 (15%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (8%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Michał Oleksiejczuk79%
Joe Riggs 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michał Oleksiejczuk a 79% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1705), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Riggs finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Michał Oleksiejczuk 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.