Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Riggs vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good
Patrick Cote
ca

Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

49-18-1Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
37,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Soul FightersTeamBTT Canada

What's at stake

Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Riggs carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+13→ 1717
If they lose-11→ 1693
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+11→ 1739
If they lose-13→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
57%
Strike defense
49%
2.45
Takedown avg.
0.68
55%
Takedown accuracy
21%
63%
Takedown defense
44%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Joe RiggsPatrick Cote
1700175020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

37 (77%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
7 (15%)
Submission
3 (14%)
4 (8%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote58%
Joe Riggs 42%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 58% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1704, a 24-point edge.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Riggs finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.