Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Riggs vs Ron Stallings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Riggs
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Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good
Ron Stallings
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Ron Stallings

“The Choir Boy”

15-8-0MiddleweightCES

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

49-18-1Record15-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
37,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Soul FightersTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

Joe Riggs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ron Stallings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+9→ 1713
If they lose-15→ 1689
Ron StallingsNow 1615
If they win+20→ 1635
If they lose-12→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
51%
Strike accuracy
61%
1.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
57%
Strike defense
51%
2.45
Takedown avg.
0
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
71%
0.58
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe RiggsRon Stallings
1600165017002016201720182019

Win method breakdown

37 (77%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
7 (15%)
Submission
6 (40%)
4 (8%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Riggs60%
Ron Stallings 40%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Riggs a 60% favorite over Ron Stallings in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Joe Riggs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1615, a 89-point edge.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ron Stallings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Riggs finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Ron Stallings 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.