Joe Schilling vs John Doyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record11-22-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamFreelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Joe Schilling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — John Doyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1481
If they lose-29→ 1433
If they win+15→ 1397
If they lose-9→ 1373
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingJohn Doyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling56%
John Doyle 44%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 56% favorite over John Doyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Joe Schilling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1462 to 1382, a 80-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Doyle enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Doyle 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.