Joe Schilling vs Moti Horenstein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record1-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamMoti Horenstein MMA
What's at stake
Joe Schilling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Moti Horenstein carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1482
If they lose-28→ 1434
If they win+28→ 1428
If they lose-20→ 1380
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingMoti Horenstein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling57%
Moti Horenstein 43%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 57% favorite over Moti Horenstein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joe Schilling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1462 to 1400, a 62-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Moti Horenstein enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.