Joe Schilling vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Joe Schilling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439
If they win+23→ 1501
If they lose-25→ 1453
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw62%
Joe Schilling 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 62% favorite over Joe Schilling in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1462, a 16-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.