Joe Schilling vs Rick Roufus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record4-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamTBD
What's at stake
Joe Schilling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Rick Roufus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1484
If they lose-26→ 1436
If they win+26→ 1464
If they lose-22→ 1416
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingRick Roufus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling70%
Rick Roufus 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 70% favorite over Rick Roufus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Joe Schilling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1462 to 1438, a 24-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rick Roufus enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rick Roufus 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.