Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Schilling vs Roland Payne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Schilling
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Joe Schilling

“Stitch 'Em Up”

4-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1462Average

Tale of the tape

4-7-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'9"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe SchillingNow 1462
If they win+25→ 1487
If they lose-23→ 1439
Roland PayneNow 1471
If they win+23→ 1494
If they lose-25→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Schilling57%
Roland Payne 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 57% favorite over Roland Payne in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roland Payne's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1462 vs 1471), separated by just 9 points.

Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.