Joe Schilling vs Yosuke Nishijima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-7-0Record0-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
The Yard Muay ThaiTeamTakada Dojo
What's at stake
Joe Schilling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Yosuke Nishijima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1483
If they lose-27→ 1435
If they win+27→ 1445
If they lose-21→ 1397
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SchillingYosuke Nishijima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling78%
Yosuke Nishijima 22%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 78% favorite over Yosuke Nishijima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Joe Schilling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1462 to 1418, a 44-point edge.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yosuke Nishijima enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Joe Schilling and Yosuke Nishijima share 1 common opponent: Melvin Manhoef.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.