Joe Solecki vs Matt Wiman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach68,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym-OTeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
Joe Solecki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-19→ 1648
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-10→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SoleckiMatt Wiman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Solecki75%
Matt Wiman 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Solecki a 75% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joe Solecki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1604, a 63-point edge.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Solecki finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Matt Wiman 56%.
Joe Solecki carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.