Joe Solecki vs Nurullo Aliev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym-OTeamKaizen MMA
What's at stake
Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joe Solecki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1653
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-18→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SoleckiNurullo Aliev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nurullo Aliev76%
Joe Solecki 24%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 76% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1667, a 48-point edge.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joe Solecki finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 18%.
Nurullo Aliev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.