Joe Solecki vs Nurullo Aliev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gym-OTeamKaizen MMA
What's at stake
Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Joe Solecki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1686
If they lose-13→ 1654
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe SoleckiNurullo Aliev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nurullo Aliev87%
Joe Solecki 13%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 87% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1667, a 66-point edge.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joe Solecki finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 17%.
Nurullo Aliev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.