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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Son vs Sergio Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Son
us

Joe Son

0-4-0HeavyweightPFC

1406Developing

Tale of the tape

0-4-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
236 lbsWeight265 lbs

What's at stake

Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Joe Son carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe SonNow 1406
If they win+28→ 1434
If they lose-20→ 1386
Sergio MartinezNow 1471
If they win+20→ 1491
If they lose-28→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Joe SonSergio Martinez
14001450200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Sergio Martinez72%
Joe Son 28%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 72% favorite over Joe Son in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1406, a 65-point edge.

Joe Son enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.