Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Soto vs Johnny Munoz Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Soto
us

Joe Soto

“One Bad Mofo”

18-7-0BantamweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record14-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
65,0"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Central Valley Combat AcademyTeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe SotoNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Johnny Munoz Jr.Now 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.44
42%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
67%
Strike defense
55%
0.85
Takedown avg.
2.40
21%
Takedown accuracy
26%
70%
Takedown defense
45%
1.91
Submission avg.
1.75

Trajectory

Joe SotoJohnny Munoz Jr.
165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
10 (56%)
Submission
7 (50%)
3 (17%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Munoz Jr.60%
Joe Soto 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Munoz Jr. a 60% favorite over Joe Soto in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Soto's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Johnny Munoz Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Soto finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Munoz Jr. 64%.

Johnny Munoz Jr. carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.