Joe Soto vs Rafael do Nascimento
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record13-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
65,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Central Valley Combat AcademyTeamX-Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe SotoRafael do Nascimento
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joe Soto and Rafael do Nascimento within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.
Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rafael do Nascimento enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joe Soto finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rafael do Nascimento 77%.
Rafael do Nascimento carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.