Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Soto vs Ruslan Satiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Soto
us

Joe Soto

“One Bad Mofo”

18-7-0BantamweightUFC

1664Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record7-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Central Valley Combat AcademyTeamKHK MMA Dagestan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe SotoNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Ruslan SatievNow 1665
If they win+24→ 1689
If they lose-24→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
67%
Strike defense
TBD
0.85
Takedown avg.
TBD
21%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.91
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe SotoRuslan Satiev
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
10 (56%)
Submission
2 (29%)
3 (17%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Satiev70%
Joe Soto 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Satiev a 70% favorite over Joe Soto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Satiev enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Joe Soto finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Satiev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.