Joe Stevenson vs Josh Neer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
33-16-0Record36-16-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Josh Neer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
If they win+11→ 1659
If they lose-13→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe StevensonJosh Neer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Neer61%
Joe Stevenson 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 61% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Josh Neer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1615, a 33-point edge.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Josh Neer 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.