Joe Stevenson vs Keisuke Sasu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-16-0Record14-5-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamMaster Japan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe StevensonKeisuke Sasu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keisuke Sasu66%
Joe Stevenson 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 66% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Stevenson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.