Joe Stevenson vs Kenny Florian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-16-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamFlorian Martial Arts Center
What's at stake
Kenny Florian is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joe Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-18→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe StevensonKenny Florian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kenny Florian58%
Joe Stevenson 42%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Kenny Florian a 58% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Kenny Florian holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1615, a 46-point edge.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kenny Florian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kenny Florian 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.