Joe Stevenson vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
33-16-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe StevensonKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino53%
Joe Stevenson 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 53% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1619), separated by just 4 points.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Joe Stevenson and Kurt Pellegrino share 2 common opponents: George Sotiropoulos and Nate Diaz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.