Joe Stevenson vs Mac Danzig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-16-0Record22-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamDanzig MMA
What's at stake
Joe Stevenson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mac Danzig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1599
If they win+13→ 1609
If they lose-11→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe StevensonMac Danzig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Stevenson56%
Mac Danzig 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Stevenson a 56% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Joe Stevenson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1596, a 16-point edge.
Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mac Danzig 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.