Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Stevenson vs Ryan Kuse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Kuse
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Ryan Kuse

“Third Street Savage”

10-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

33-16-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe StevensonNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Ryan KuseNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
2.75
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.20
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe StevensonRyan Kuse
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
13 (39%)
Submission
1 (10%)
11 (33%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Kuse76%
Joe Stevenson 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Kuse a 76% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Stevenson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.

Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Kuse 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.