Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Stevenson vs Trevor Peek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

33-16-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach 70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamAgoge Combatives· 1612 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe StevensonNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Trevor PeekNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
61%
Strike defense
44%
2.75
Takedown avg.
1.45
45%
Takedown accuracy
0%
40%
Takedown defense
53%
2.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joe StevensonTrevor Peek
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
13 (39%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (33%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Peek61%
Joe Stevenson 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 61% favorite over Joe Stevenson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Stevenson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.

Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Trevor Peek enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.