Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Stevenson vs Yves Edwards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yves Edwards
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Yves Edwards

“Thugjitsu Master”

42-22-1LightweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

33-16-0Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yves Edwards is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Stevenson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe StevensonNow 1615
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
Yves EdwardsNow 1686
If they win+10→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
45%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.34
61%
Strike defense
67%
2.75
Takedown avg.
0.76
45%
Takedown accuracy
54%
40%
Takedown defense
69%
2.20
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Joe StevensonYves Edwards
160016501700175020122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

9 (27%)
KO/TKO
17 (40%)
13 (39%)
Submission
16 (38%)
11 (33%)
Decision
9 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joe Stevenson and Yves Edwards within a point of even.

Yves Edwards holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1615, a 71-point edge.

Joe Stevenson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joe Stevenson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.