Joe Thurrott vs Nissen Osterneck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dark Horse GymTeamRelson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1645
If they lose-24→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe ThurrottNissen Osterneck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Thurrott69%
Nissen Osterneck 31%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Thurrott a 69% favorite over Nissen Osterneck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.
Joe Thurrott enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joe Thurrott finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nissen Osterneck 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.