Joe Vedepo vs Rob Kimmons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record25-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamK2L Grindhouse
What's at stake
Rob Kimmons is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Vedepo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1581
If they lose-11→ 1557
If they win+11→ 1600
If they lose-13→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joe VedepoRob Kimmons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Vedepo51%
Rob Kimmons 49%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Vedepo a 51% favorite over Rob Kimmons in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Kimmons's way (47%).
Rob Kimmons holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1568, a 21-point edge.
Joe Vedepo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joe Vedepo finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rob Kimmons 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.