Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Veres vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe VeresNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+12→ 1533
If they lose-12→ 1509

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
0%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
27%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
0%
Takedown accuracy
64%
0%
Takedown defense
61%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Joe VeresMelvin Guillard
1500155020062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (6%)
1 (33%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Veres61%
Melvin Guillard 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Veres a 61% favorite over Melvin Guillard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1521), separated by just 2 points.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Joe Veres finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.