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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joel Faglier vs Matt Mitrione

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-0-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach43,0"
266 lbsWeight255 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joel FaglierNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
Matt MitrioneNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1489 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.55
Not available
Strike accuracy
50%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Joel FaglierMatt Mitrione
155016001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
3 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joel Faglier and Matt Mitrione within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1632), separated by just 3 points.

Joel Faglier enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joel Faglier finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.