Joel Faglier vs Roy Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record24-20-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach72,0"
266 lbsWeight249 lbs
Faglier's Mixed Martial ArtsTeamCountry Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1489 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joel FaglierRoy Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joel Faglier and Roy Nelson within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1632), separated by just 3 points.
Joel Faglier enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Roy Nelson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Joel Faglier finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roy Nelson 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.