Joel Faglier vs Tom Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight205 lbs
Faglier's Mixed Martial ArtsTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1489 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joel FaglierTom Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joel Faglier64%
Tom Murphy 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joel Faglier a 64% favorite over Tom Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Murphy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Joel Faglier enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Tom Murphy enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Joel Faglier finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tom Murphy 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.