Joel Thomas vs Luis Francischinelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'6"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1638
If they lose-24→ 1590
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joel ThomasLuis Francischinelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Francischinelli63%
Joel Thomas 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Francischinelli a 63% favorite over Joel Thomas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Joel Thomas enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Joel Thomas finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Luis Francischinelli 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.