Joelson Nascimento vs John Donaldson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record0-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach66,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Maquininha do Futuro· 1606 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1501
If they lose-16→ 1469
If they win+16→ 1498
If they lose-16→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joelson NascimentoJohn Donaldson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joelson Nascimento58%
John Donaldson 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joelson Nascimento a 58% favorite over John Donaldson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1482), separated by just 3 points.
Joelson Nascimento finishes 79% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.