Joey Beltran vs Matt Mitrione
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-15-0Record13-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach43,0"
205 lbsWeight255 lbs
BlacklineTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Matt Mitrione is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joey Beltran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1541
If they lose-8→ 1517
If they win+11→ 1643
If they lose-21→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey BeltranMatt Mitrione
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Mitrione61%
Joey Beltran 39%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Mitrione a 61% favorite over Joey Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Matt Mitrione holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1525, a 107-point edge.
Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joey Beltran finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.
Joey Beltran and Matt Mitrione share 1 common opponent: Sergei Kharitonov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
Loss Decision · 2018
Loss Uppercut to Hammerfists · 2019