Joey Beltran vs Rolles Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-15-0Record8-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
BlacklineTeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Rolles Gracie is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Joey Beltran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1540
If they lose-9→ 1516
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-20→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey BeltranRolles Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rolles Gracie58%
Joey Beltran 42%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Rolles Gracie a 58% favorite over Joey Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Rolles Gracie holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1525, a 93-point edge.
Rolles Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joey Beltran finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rolles Gracie 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.