Joey Beltran vs Stipe Miocic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-15-0Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach 80"
205 lbsWeight234 lbs
BlacklineTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
Stipe Miocic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Joey Beltran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1544
If they lose-5→ 1520
If they win+6→ 1771
If they lose-26→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey BeltranStipe Miocic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stipe Miocic82%
Joey Beltran 18%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Stipe Miocic a 82% favorite over Joey Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Stipe Miocic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1525, a 240-point edge.
Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joey Beltran finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.