Joey Gambino vs Keweny Lopes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record12-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Raging WarriorsTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joey GambinoKeweny Lopes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keweny Lopes70%
Joey Gambino 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keweny Lopes a 70% favorite over Joey Gambino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joey Gambino's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1621), separated by just 0 points.
Joey Gambino enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joey Gambino finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Keweny Lopes 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.