Combat Edge Intelligence

Joey Hart vs Jon Manley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joey Hart
us

Joey Hart

“The Hitman”

9-4-0WelterweightLFA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
79"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Start BJJ· 1603 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Link

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joey HartNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Jon ManleyNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
20%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joey HartJon Manley
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (46%)
1 (11%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Joey Hart66%
Jon Manley 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joey Hart a 66% favorite over Jon Manley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.

Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jon Manley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Joey Hart finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jon Manley 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.