Joey Hart vs Kendly St. Louis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
79"Reach77”
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Start BJJTeamAmerican Top Team Sunrise
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey HartKendly St. Louis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joey Hart75%
Kendly St. Louis 25%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joey Hart a 75% favorite over Kendly St. Louis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kendly St. Louis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1604), separated by just 3 points.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kendly St. Louis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joey Hart finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kendly St. Louis 73%.
Joey Hart and Kendly St. Louis share 1 common opponent: Chris Mixan.
Joey Hart carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.