Joey Hart vs Marc Stevens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record24-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
79"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Start BJJ· 1603 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Watertown
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey HartMarc Stevens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joey Hart71%
Marc Stevens 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joey Hart a 71% favorite over Marc Stevens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joey Hart finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Marc Stevens 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.