Joey Hart vs Paulo Thiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
79"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joey HartPaulo Thiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joey Hart52%
Paulo Thiago 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joey Hart a 52% favorite over Paulo Thiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1595), separated by just 2 points.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joey Hart finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Thiago 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.