Joey Hart vs Ryan Stonitsch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Ryan Stonitsch
Elo1599SolidTale of the tape
9-4-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
79"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Start BJJ· 1603 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRockford Kickboxing & Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+24→ 1623
If they lose-24→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey HartRyan Stonitsch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joey Hart70%
Ryan Stonitsch 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joey Hart a 70% favorite over Ryan Stonitsch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joey Hart finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Stonitsch 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.