Joey Hart vs Tracy Reeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
79"Reach73.5"
171 lbsWeight160 lbs
Start BJJ· 1613 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey HartTracy Reeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joey Hart and Tracy Reeder within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Joey Hart enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tracy Reeder enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joey Hart finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.
Joey Hart carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.