Combat Edge Intelligence

Joey Roberts vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joey RobertsNow 1515
If they win+24→ 1539
If they lose-24→ 1491
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1481 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joey RobertsTarcísio Romano
145015001550200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joey Roberts and Tarcísio Romano within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1519), separated by just 4 points.

Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.