Joey Ruquet vs Lucas Alexander
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
64"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
Headhunter StrikingTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joey RuquetLucas Alexander
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joey Ruquet60%
Lucas Alexander 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joey Ruquet a 60% favorite over Lucas Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1576), separated by just 3 points.
Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joey Ruquet finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Alexander 38%.
Lucas Alexander carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.