Combat Edge Intelligence

Joey Ruquet vs Tommy Hayden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joey Ruquet
us

Joey Ruquet

“El Cazador”

11-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
64"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Headhunter StrikingTeamBangkok Fight Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joey RuquetNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Tommy HaydenNow 1580
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joey RuquetTommy Hayden
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
5 (45%)
Submission
6 (60%)
5 (45%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Joey Ruquet60%
Tommy Hayden 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joey Ruquet a 60% favorite over Tommy Hayden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tommy Hayden's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.

Joey Ruquet finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Hayden 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.