Combat Edge Intelligence

John Adajar vs Josh Quinlan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Adajar
ph

John Adajar

“Outlaw”

6-3-0WelterweightUAEW

1547Average
Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1545Average

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AdajarNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Josh QuinlanNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
53%
Strike accuracy
42%
6.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
44%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John AdajarJosh Quinlan
15501600165020232024

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

John Adajar62%
Josh Quinlan 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Adajar a 62% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1545), separated by just 2 points.

John Adajar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Adajar finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.