John Alessio vs Pat Miletich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-17-0Record29-8-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
John Alessio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pat Miletich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1653
If they win+13→ 1660
If they lose-11→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John AlessioPat Miletich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Alessio58%
Pat Miletich 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes John Alessio a 58% favorite over Pat Miletich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
John Alessio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1647, a 19-point edge.
John Alessio finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Pat Miletich 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.