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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Alessio vs Patrick Ocheme

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Alessio
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John Alessio

“The Natural”

35-17-0LightweightBFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

35-17-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMayhem Fitness Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AlessioNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Patrick OchemeNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.10
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
39%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
1.85
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.16
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

John AlessioPatrick Ocheme
1550160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
15 (45%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (24%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

John Alessio57%
Patrick Ocheme 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes John Alessio a 57% favorite over Patrick Ocheme in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.

John Alessio finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.