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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Alessio vs Sheymon Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Alessio
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John Alessio

“The Natural”

35-17-0LightweightBFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

35-17-0Record17-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John AlessioNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654
Sheymon MoraesNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.10
Sig. strikes / min
3
39%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
55%
Strike defense
64%
1.85
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
54%
1.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John AlessioSheymon Moraes
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (30%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
15 (45%)
Submission
1 (6%)
8 (24%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Sheymon Moraes64%
John Alessio 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sheymon Moraes a 64% favorite over John Alessio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Alessio's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1666), separated by just 0 points.

John Alessio finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sheymon Moraes 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.