John Alessio vs Trey Ogden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
35-17-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMarathon MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John AlessioTrey Ogden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trey Ogden70%
John Alessio 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trey Ogden a 70% favorite over John Alessio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.
John Alessio finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Trey Ogden 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.