John Allan vs Leonardo Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamChina Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John AllanLeonardo Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Silva63%
John Allan 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 63% favorite over John Allan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1616), separated by just 7 points.
John Allan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Allan finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.